Monday, 30 November 2009

AGW and Peak Oil: A Two-Part Malthusian Myth

If the theory of anthropogenic global warming is the first wave infantry assault on our common sense, then peak oil is the reserves that mop up any anti-Malthusian resistance remaining.

The recent Climategate email leaks have had a massive effect on the believers in AGW theory. Scientists churning out junk science! Who'd have thunk it?

(As an aside, this whole story has had a profound effect on Mike Adams of naturalnews.com, who is now something of a GW sceptic. But he should be, as his site knows what it's like to fight uphill against government-mandated junk science brainwashing.)

(Of course it's "the end of cheap oil", 'cause cartel-created artificial scarcity is driving up prices!)

But there remains another - less important, but nonetheless vital - deception to conquer. And that is Peak Oil.

This is the notion that oil production will, or has, reached a 'peak' as available reserves run out. It's what you get taught in school ('oh, we only have enough oil for 20 years' or whatever). But we are finding more all the time!

The Peak Oil argument is that we are not finding enough new oil reserves to continue our consumption for any significant length of time. There's only one problem with that...WE ARE!

http://seekingalpha.com/article/82236-the-peak-oil-myth-new-oil-is-plentiful

Quoted from that article - see JUST ONE example of how Peak Oil is a fraud:

"8. The United States holds significant oil shale resources underlying a total area of 16,000 square miles. This represents the largest known concentration of oil shale in the world and holds an estimated 1.5 trillion barrels of oil with 800 billion recoverable barrells – enough to meet U.S. demand for oil at current levels for 110 years. More than 70 percent of American oil shale is on Federal land, primarily in Colorado, Utah, and Wyoming. In Utah, a developer says his company already has the technology to produce 4,000 barrels a day using a furnace that can heat up rock using its own fuel. ``This is not a science project,'' said Daniel G. Elcan, managing director of Oil Shale Exploration Corp. ``For many years, the high cost of extracting oil from shale exceeded the benefit. But today the calculus is changing,'' President George Bush said. Sen. Orrin Hatch, R-Utah, said the country has to do everything it can to boost energy production. ``We have as much oil in oil shale in Utah, Wyoming and Colorado as the rest of the world combined,'' he said."

In other words, who's stopping the extraction of all this oil? The US government is. In collusion, I expect, with the oil companies. To drive up prices. A delicious cartel arrangement made much more profitable by the Peak Oil Fraud.

Now don't get me wrong, I'm not saying oil is infinite. But it's not running out anytime soon. If it was, then America would be Drilling Baby Drilling right now, believe me.

We will not run out of oil. Rather, new technology will simply replace oil in much the same way that fossil fuels replaced the use of trees for wood. Oil will be obsolete. It should already be. Cartels are keeping oil in place for their own interests. Where's that hydrogen powered car, eh? Nuclear tech/geothermal replacing coal fired power stations? Give it time.

PS: I don't believe human co2 production has much at all to do with global temps, but if you believe that then come on, support the new technology we do have (which happens to be non-co2 emitting) instead of bitching at Copenhagen that we need global carbon taxes and less children because 'we are a cancer on the Earth' or something. Malthusianism is the delusion of the defeatist, and the invention of the eugenicist.

4 comments:

  1. The Age of Oil has driven our growth over the past 100 years. The entire basis of our modern civilization is built on oil and other fossil fuels. It has enabled the industrial revolution, a massive increase in population, and our current standard of living in the West. One way or another, the passing of this Age will change us forever.

    http://www.watchinghistory.com/2009/12/age-of-oil.html

    ReplyDelete
  2. Nope, we aren't going backwards, what needs to happen instead is for the potential of nuclear, geothermal etc power to be unleashed so we can progress society into a new industrial age with a stable or increasing world population.

    The 3rd world will stabilise at some point during the next century...as for the West, if we don't have more children there won't be a West in a few generations. The birth rates collectively of W Europe/N America come to about 1.5 when only citizens are looked at (where 2 means a stable population for the future)

    As for the oil, no it's not running out, co2 is not causing global warming, but we can move on from oil anytime. Simply switch all cars and other craft to hydrogen engines and get all our electricity from nuclear, geothermal, and the other crappier renewable sources.

    Organic farming is the future for health and pollution minimisation, and it WILL feed everyone if we grow hemp, also if we use algae (chlorella/spirulina) for nutrition, read Mike Adams' report on the above algae for more info. Also if we simply ceased farming animals and replaced this with all-plant farming, even the environazi groups say this will feed humanity at 2050 population levels with current production levels.

    The possibilities are limitless sir! Yet you wish to mope about population control and the end of industry, and how our very existence is impossible without oil. I call BS.

    Or, if you believe we are 'overpopulated', here's a pistol. Lead by example.

    ReplyDelete
  3. I thought peak oil was a lie to a while until I checked the math.

    in 1970 only The west, soviet and japan used significant amounts of oil. that is when US oil production started to decline.

    but ever since we double consumption every 7 years or less. That means that every decade you are consuming more than all the previous years put together. try doubling a grain of corn for every square on the chessboard. at square 64, you get a number so big that it will represent more corn than the entire planet made of corn.

    We are not finding any more North Sea size oil fields. No new saudi Arabias, no new US deposits except deep offshore of which _none_ are the size of the North Sea which is going dry.
    Iran production has passed it's top production and will never again produce as much, same goes for Aserbaidjan and the kaspian sea., same with Venezuela. Listen, even if the _entire_ Pacific was a lake of oil there would BE a limit! There would come a day when there was less remaining than you had used, if and since we double our consumption every decade because all the world _has_ to consume more for the economic activity to grow, deliver food, etc.

    it's not a theory. Its maths. pure maths.

    watch this video twice and do the math. watch the _whole_ thing.

    most people fall off after part one which is why
    noone ever understands it.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F-QA2rkpBSY

    if you know what torrent is, try www.isohunt.com and dload "crude awakening"
    it is _serious_ stuff. Try tell if they are "just lying". I'll think you
    See the logic.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ry7OwWFXn7c

    ReplyDelete
  4. I am not denying oil is a finite resource. But the notion that it is about to run out (in the next, say, 50 years) is just scaremongering.

    But let's say it did. We have other technologies, which are already lining up to replace oil anyway. (They just aren't as "economically viable" yet.)

    My biggest objection to peak oil people is when they tell us what to do about the problem...it usually doesn't go well...

    See here at 5:35 onwards:
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pb3JI8F9LQQ
    Evil, evil man. Very sick. Clearly loves the idea of killing people off.

    Malthusianism does not take into account the power of the individual to be dynamic, creative and resourceful. Humanity is not a cancer. Every human being is a blessing, not a curse.

    (Thankfully even if I were to believe there are too many people, fertility is collapsing, especially in the West. I am more concerned about humans dying out. See 'UN Agenda 21' etc.)

    ReplyDelete

I appreciate your comments.